United States

Future State 2030: The Global Megatrends Shaping Governments

Dec 20, 2013
From the Government Institute

KPMG International engaged the Mowat Centre at the School of Public Policy and Governance, University of Toronto, to conduct targeted research on megatrends that will significantly impact the business landscape for the public and private sector through to 2030. These findings will help guide important conversations over the coming years among national governments and public sector policy makers. The findings identity nine global megatrends that are most salient to the future of governments and their core responsibilities of economic prosperity, security, social cohesion and environmental sustainability.

The identified megatrends encompass some of the world's most critical challenges, including:

  • Resource scarcity: a 50-percent increase in global food supply and a 40 percent increase in water is needed to meet demand in 2030
  • Demographic changes: a tidal wave of young people is entering the labor force in developing economies while most developed countries are grappling with rapidly aging populations
  • Rise of the middle class: an expanding, more technology-adept and connected middle class is exerting greater demands on governments in the face of rising public debt
  • Economic power shift: rebalancing of global power as emerging economies lift millions out of poverty
  • Urbanization and climate change